After a two price adjustment fall this week after five, refined oil price adjustment window will be opened again. Learned that the recent oil price spikes continuously, for this weekend's domestic oil price adjustment, a number of agencies have been bullish. According to the Throttle Body Kero noted, the domestic refined oil prices will usher in a new round of adjustment window. Yesterday, the energy market institutions predict that, after a continuous two stranded after the current round of rising oil prices may usher in, or expected to be 170 yuan -180 yuan / ton, which translates into price rise, 90 # gasoline is 0.12-0.13 yuan / l, 0 # diesel oil is 0.14-0.15 yuan / liter. Since the international crude oil remain high this week, finishing probability is too large, the current round of refined oil increased almost a foregone conclusion. Former two are stranded end oil price adjustment, the adjustment will not accumulate to this price adjustment, so the forecast rate significantly exceeds the 50 yuan / ton hike red line, unless continuous sharp decline in international crude oil this week, or reversal unlikely.
As of August 27 the seventh day, the reference crude oil varieties (WTI, Brent, Brent Dιd, Dubai, ESPO) average price $ 109.329 per barrel, the rate of change of 2.38%. Treasure Island oil analyst at Kimball pointed out yesterday, crude oil according to the rate of change of refined oil should adjustments be 130 yuan / ton, plus two previously stranded oil amplitude superimposed over 40 yuan / ton, the current round of oil increases in the range of 170-180 yuan / ton, which translates into price rise, 90 # gasoline is 0.12-0.13 yuan / liter, 0 # diesel oil is 0.14-0.15 yuan / liter. The most recent adjustment of domestic oil prices occurred in at 0:00 on July 20, when gasoline and diesel prices were increased 325 yuan per ton and 310 yuan, setting a new mechanism for the purposes of the biggest rate increases, after two price adjustment period is a continuous run aground. In the past month, the domestic refined oil demand continues to slump, and the price adjustment policy is always in tune with and without hovering between hike, leading to weakness filling the domestic refined oil wholesale market, the market traded prices are gradually falling. With prices expected to increase, the domestic wholesale price of refined oil products in some areas have begun to rise. August 26, the domestic part of the market to push up oil prices began to move in the oil price to stimulate overall market sentiment, the rate of increase in the 30 to 100 yuan / ton. However, wholesale prices, retail prices did not affect the gas station, due to the current wholesale and retail price difference is still large, so some stations still exist Promotions phenomenon. However, due to weak demand in the downstream rigid, the industry is difficult to determine a larger increase. In the new round of oil price adjustment early, ahead of the domestic market once again push the price to stimulate shipments. Yesterday full price of oil in North China, rose 30 yuan to 100 yuan / ton. However, wholesale prices, retail prices did not affect the gas station, due to the current wholesale and retail price difference is large, so there is some gas stations Promotions phenomenon.
According to the Throttle Body Kero understand, in fact, over the past month, domestic oil demand continues to slump, the domestic wholesale market weakness filling, the market traded prices gradually lower. In the current market, many vendors will raise prices by chance this round of adjustment, coupled with the traditional "golden nine silver ten" shopping season, vendors hope to use this to stimulate consumption, reversing the weakness in the market.
The price adjustment for related industries will not have much impact on the short term, after all, the domestic refined oil price has been very frequently, and the oil conductivity is generally 2-3 months, so from this perspective, the impact is not very large. |